Musk deer (Moschus spp.) face redistribution to higher elevations and latitudes under climate change in China

NWIPB OpenIR

	Musk deer (Moschus spp.) face redistribution to higher elevations and latitudes under climate change in China
	Jiang, Feng; Zhang, Jingjie; Gao, Hongmei; Cai, Zhenyuan; Zhou, Xiaowen; Li, Shengqing; Zhang, Tongzuo
	2020
发表期刊	SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
卷号	704
摘要	The population of wild musk deer (Moschus spp.) has declined in recent decades and reached an endangered status in China. Global climate change may drive the extinction rate of these species. To understand the implications of global warming on the future potential space utilization and migration direction of musk deer, both the maximum entropy model and barycenter migration analysis were utilized. Five global climate models and four representative concentration pathway scenarios were considered to simulate the distribution of six species for the years 2050 and 2070. The results indicated that the suitable habitat area would decrease over the next 30 to 50 years. These decreases of suitable habitat were more significant for the Siberian musk deer (reduced by 4.98% of the land area of China), the forest musk deer (1.04%), the black musk deer (0.86%), and the Himalayan musk deer (1.82%) compared with the other two musk deer species. The area with suitable climate for the Siberian musk deer will migrate to the southwest (to higher elevations) while areas suitable for the Alpine musk deer, the Himalayan musk deer, and the Anhui musk deer would all migrate to the northeast (to higher latitudes). However, the forest musk deer and the black musk deer will not migrate in the same direction, but will mainly migrate to the west and the north, respectively. These results provide data in support for in-situ conservation, ex-situ conservation, natural reserve community, and bio-corridor construction of China's musk deer species in response to global warming. (C) 2019 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V.
关键词	Musk deer Climate change Maximum entropy model Ecological niche Barycenter migration Fluctuation range
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://210.75.249.4/handle/363003/60407
专题	中国科学院西北高原生物研究所
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Jiang, Feng,Zhang, Jingjie,Gao, Hongmei,et al. Musk deer (Moschus spp.) face redistribution to higher elevations and latitudes under climate change in China[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2020,704.
APA	Jiang, Feng.,Zhang, Jingjie.,Gao, Hongmei.,Cai, Zhenyuan.,Zhou, Xiaowen.,...&Zhang, Tongzuo.(2020).Musk deer (Moschus spp.) face redistribution to higher elevations and latitudes under climate change in China.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,704.
MLA	Jiang, Feng,et al."Musk deer (Moschus spp.) face redistribution to higher elevations and latitudes under climate change in China".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 704(2020).